Of main interests to us is the use of mining as a part of in-situ resource utilization, that is: making it easier to industrialize and colonize space by removing the need to pay the sky-high delta-V cost of lugging raw materials up Terra's gravity well.
But in the early stages, asteroid mining start-ups cannot be established to provide minerals to space industrialization because there won't be any. No existing customers for their product. To get the ball rolling, the start-ups won't be looking for water ice or aluminum to sell to AsteroGobbler Inc. Instead they will be looking for gold and platinum to sell on Terra.
And that's when the spectre of Technological Disruption will raise its ugly head and make the powers-that-be turn red in the face with live steam angrily shooting out of their ears. Imagine the rage of a member of the 0.1% discovering that all their gold stocks are suddenly worth less than used toilet paper when some stupid rock-rat hauls a cubic mile of auriferous asteroid into LEO. And you thought the MPAA and the RIAA were were furious when internet piracy was invented. The 0.1% is going to do their best to outlaw asteroid mining.
Planets and colonies require certain elements for life support and others to support their industry. This is the market that the space miners are supplying. This will also determine which elements are worth the miner's time to prospect for, the more valuable elements will be the ones in either big demand, of extreme scarcity, or both.
As an economic abstraction useful concepts are Avalloy and Demandite.
The amount of avalloy and demandite that must be supplied to maintain one colonist for a year is the "per captia" avalloy and demandite requirement.
Understand that the composition of avalloy and demandite will be on a colony by colony basis, miners know there is no profit to be had carrying coals to Newcastle. For instance, on Terra water and air are not considered to be part of the local demandite, since they are assumed to be in unlimited supply. Terran demandite is insteads dominated by fossil fuels. In space colonies local demandite has large proportions of water and air since they are in short supply. No fossil fuels are included due to abundantly available solar power. And the avalloy for 16 Psyche will contain no iron or nickel, since that is what the blasted asteroid is made of.
The ultimate objective of space industrialization is to create a growing economy in space which can eventually become self-sufficient. Space industry is presently supported by sales of goods with extremely high intrinsic values, such as satellites for communications, research, navigation and reconnaissance. Low-volume production of exotic goods in the zero-gravity and weightless conditions afforded in near-Earth space may broaden the market for space produced goods. However, in all these cases the cost of transporting the goods or raw materials into low-Earth orbit will add $200-$700/kg to the product price for a period of 15 years and thus place a sharp limit on the ultimate terrestrial market (ref. 1). There appears to be a way of circumventing the present high cost of launching materials from the Earth into space. This can be done by acquiring bulk raw materials from the Moon or asteroids and processing them in space into economically valuable products. Initial bulk material costs could be of the order of $25/kg in high-Earth orbit (see Salkeld appendix)and the cost would drop with experience. There would be two effects of lower material costs. First, the space economy could begin approaching the richness and cost structures of our present terrestrial economy. Secondly, the range of space products that could be sold for terrestrially-related use either in space or on Earth would be greatly expanded.
The Moon can supply most of the mass needed for large-scale industry in space. There are two ways to approach the proof of this statement. The first is to look in detail at the materials needed to construct specific products in space. At this point in time the production of space solar power stations is an attractive candidate because of the high value per unit mass of such objects and because of the large number of stations which could be required (>200 in next 30 years). Analyses even of designs not optimized for lunar elements reveal that at least 60 percent of the required silicon, aluminum and oxygen could be obtained from the Moon and the total mass lifted from Earth could be reduced about 80 percent by utilizing lunar materials.
Alternatively, one can compare the nonfuel distribution of nonrecoverable elements (weight fraction) utilized in the industrial economy of the United States with elements present in the lunar soil as is shown in table 1. The fraction of these elements which can be extracted with reasonable and presently available chemical processing techniques from beneficiated lunar ores is the subject of two companion papers (by Williams et al. and Rao et al.respectively) discuss extraction of Si, O, Fe, Al, Ti, and H2O. Using these and other proposed extraction procedures most of the components of the synthetic molecule of "Demandite", which constitute most of the nonfuel material inputs to American industry, could be provided in deep space at less cost per unit mass than the launch cost of the complete suite of the constituent elements directly from Earth in large tonnages until the mid-1990's.
TABLE 1 .- NONFUEL DEMANDITE (U.S., 1958) COMPARED TO ELEMENTARY DISTRIBUTIONS OF SOIL AT THE APOLLO-15 LANDING SITE (WEIGHT FRACTIONS) Nonfuel
Bulk soil (1 unit)b Si 0.2444 0.2158 1.13 -- 0.0286 O .4547 .4130 1.10 -- .0417 Fe .0479 .1535 .31 0.1056 -- Al .0023 .0546 .04 .0523 -- Mg .0017 .0681 .025 .0664 -- (Cu, Zn, Pb) .0020 2.2 (-5)c 90 -- .0020 Xd .0030 Σ -.0569 0.0189 Σ -.2951 .15 .0159 -- Cae .1417 .0696 2.0 -- .0721 Na .0095 .0023 4.1 -- .0072 S .0058 .0006 9.7 -- .0052 Ke .0021 .0008 2.6 -- .0013 Pe .0019 .0005 3.8 -- .0014 Cl .0147 7.6(-6) 1934 -- .0147 Ne .0083 8(-5) 103 -- .0083 Ce,f .0574 9.5(-5) 604 -- .0573 Hf .0025 6.4(-5) 350 -- .0025 Otherg .0001 .0023 .03 .0022 -- 1.000 1.000 -- (+)0.2424 (-)0.2423
bFormula = (Wt. fraction lunar element)- (Wt. fraction demandite).
c(N) ≡ 10N
dx - Mn, Ti, Cr, Ba, F, Ni, Ar, Sri, Br, Zr.
fConcentrated in the smaller grains (<50μ)
gVirtually the complete suite of elements is present in these areas,
but their contributions (on the ppm and ppb levels) are lost in
the errors of the sum over the listed elements. Trace element concentrations may vary greatly from one site to another.
Notice in column 4 of table 1, that the major demandite components (Si, O, Fe, Al, Mg, X, Ca, Na, K, P, and S) are present either in adequate concentrations or in enrichments that are 10 times the specific fractions of the soil. Beneficiation of soil components to enhance and possibly simplify. known chemical extraction processes should be achievable using electrostatic, magnetic, dielectric and mechanical techniques and careful site selection. Elements such as Cu, Zn, Pb, H, Cl, N, C, and other trace elements comprise 8.4 percent of the demandite molecule. These elements would be shipped from Earth, eventually located from other sources, such as non-Apollo sites, or other materials substituted for them. In any event, it is clear that of order of 90 percent of the present day inventory of industrial elements can be provided from known lunar soils. Lunar soil processed to provide 90 percent of the demandite complement at $20/kg (i.e., Si, Al, Fe, Mg, Ca, and O) and the remainder supplied from Earth at $300/kg would provide the in-space demandite molecule at a cost of about $50/kg or 17 percent of the direct supply cost.
It is very clear, however, that substitution of materials, which is being required in the terrestrial economy even now, will permit much greater use of lunar materials both in general and for specific products. Thus, the cost of space "demandite" should approach the cost of the lunar processed materials.
The economic value to Earth of the Moon or the asteroids as a source of raw materials is strongly dependent on the total retrieval and elemental separation costs of the raw materials. Figure 1 is a qualitative description of the costs of goods or end-use-material on a dollar per kilogram basis (horizontal axis) versus the differential output of the total value of goods in the U.S. economy in billions of dollars per dollar per kilogram or (Δ109 $/($/kg)) for a total GNP of $1012.
Most goods now sell for less than $10/kg with most between $0.1/kg and $2/kg. Transport into low-Earth orbit (LEO) from the Earth presently adds more than $500/kg and thus confines goods produced in space to a tiny fraction of the potential terrestrial market (right of arrow 1 in Figure 1). Solar power stations are estimated to be economically feasible at $140/kg . Supplying the bulk of the required construction material from the Moon at $20/kg (arrow 2 in Figure 1) would clearly improve the economics and decrease the cost of the power supplied to Earth. If sources of industrial feedstock can be developed in deep space with costs of less than $0.5/kg (arrow 3 in Figure 1) then many of the Earth-produced goods can be considered for potential space manufacture. It is conceivable that industrial material can be supplied at such low costs from the Moon or asteroids assuming normal industrial "learning curve" experience occurs.
Naturally, if anything you boost into orbit is going to cost $5000 per kilogram, it would be a vast savings if you could find some of the stuff you need already up there. This is called In-situ Resource Utilization (ISRU). Currently the only ISRU NASA has managed is harvesting solar power in space, but believe me they are working on it.
Solar power cells could be manufactured from materials present on the lunar surface.
Water is one of the most useful substances available in space. It can be electrolytically split into oxygen and hydrogen for use as chemical rocket fuel or hydrogen for nuclear thermal rocket propellant (Tony Zuppero called water-ice "Rocket-Fuel Ore"), astronaut breathing mix or later use in regenerative fuel cells. Water can be used straight (instead of hydrogen) by a nuclear thermal rocket, abet with a performance penalty. It can be used to create hydrogen peroxide, which is a rocket monopropellant. It can be drunk by astronauts, fed to hydroponically grown plants, used as coolant, or used as radiation shielding. Large amounts of water have been discovered on the Lunar poles. Phobos and Deimos are thought to have ice, with Deimos ice being closer to the surface. The Jovian moons Callisto, Europa, and Ganymede have ice, though Callisto is the only one clear of Jupiter's radiation belt. Europa might have liquid water due to tidal stress.
Rob Davidoff and I worked up a science fiction background where the Martian moon Deimos becomes the water supplier for the entire solar system. We call it Cape Dread.
Aluminum and oxygen can be used as chemical rocket fuel, though the specific impulse is a pathetic 285 seconds. This is made up for by the fact that aluminum and oxygen is quite plentiful in lunar regolith, i.e., it's in the dirt.
Titanium is useful for constructing rocket-powered vehicles due to its absurdly low mass for its strength (though iron is better for space stations and bases). It can be found in Lunar Ilmenite ore. Philip Eklund suggests that "foamed" titanium will be used in space habitats as a low-mass construction material, he calls it "space wood." Isaac Kuo notes that foam titanium is only good for compression members, it is counterproductive to foam tension members.
Iron is better for constructing stationary non-rocket-propelled installations. A good source is M-type asteroids. The ultimate M-type asteroid is 16 Psyche, future home of the Asteroid civilization steel industry.
Some asteroids contain water, some contain iron, and some have siderophilic metals. The latter include Cobalt, Iron, Iridium, Manganese, Molybdenum, Nickel, Osmium, Palladium, Rhenium, Rhodium, Ruthenium, Platinum, and Gold. One small asteroid rich in siderophiles probably has enough yellow metal to crash the entire world-wide gold market.
For purposes of refueling nuclear rockets, a source of fissionables would be nice. This is covered in more detail on this page.
Helium 3 is a splendid fusion fuel. The atmosphere of Saturn is a great place to harvest He3. Jupiter is closer but harder to get to the He3. No, the He3 found on the surface of Luna is so sparse that it is not worth mining. 15 to 50 ppb is pathetically low grade ore.
Nuclear thermal rockets can use a variety of propellants that are available as ices in the colder parts of the solar system. This is what Jerry Pournelle calls "Wilderness re-fuelling", Robert Zubrin calls "In-situ Resource Utilization", and I call "the enlisted men get to go out and shovel whatever they can find into the propellant tanks". And remember that mass drivers can use anything as propellant, even dirt and rocks.
In the Traveller role playing game, they borrowed Jerry Pournelle's wilderness refueling concept. Starships have scoops allowing them to skim the atmosphere of a gas giant in order to harvest free hydrogen for fusion fuel.
However, there are a couple of elements that will have to come from Terra. In particular, nitrogen and phosphorus are vital for agriculture, but there are no rich off-Terra sources. Phosphorus is life's bottleneck, and nitrogen is fertilizer. There is a bit of phosphorus in C-type asteroids and a wee bit on Luna in areas with KREEP. Nitrogen is in ammonia, which can be found in the atmosphere of gas giant planets (which are quite a long ways away) and in large amounts in the atmosphere of Titan.
This could be a large club that the government of Terra waves at the extraterrestrial colonies, if they start making noises about rebelling from Terra's oppressive control.
Al-O2 rocket Exhaust velocity 2,648.7 m/s Thrust 292,600 N Specific Power 112 kg/MW Engine Power 500 MW Frozen Flow eff. 79% Thermal eff. 98% Thrust Power 387 MW
Solar Carbothermal Refinery
Although aluminum is common in space, it stubbornly resists refining from its oxide Al3O2. It can be reduced by a solar carbothermal process, using carbon as the reducing agent and solar energy. Compared to carbo-chlorination, this process needs no chlorine, which is hard to obtain in space. Furthermore, the use of solar heat instead of electrolysis allows higher efficiency and less power conditioning. The solar energy required is 0.121 GJ/kg Al.
The aluminum and oxygen produced can be used to fuel Al-O2 chemical boosters, which burn fine sintered aluminum dust in the presence of liquid oxygen (LO2). Unlike pure solid rockets, hybrid rockets (using a solid fuel and liquid oxidizer) can be throttled and restarted. The combustion of aluminum obtains 3.6 million joules per kilogram. At 77% propulsion efficiency, the thrust is 290 kN with a specific impulse of 285 seconds. The mass ratio for boosting off or onto Luna using an Al-O2 rocket is 2.3. In other words, over twice as much as much fuel as payload is needed.
Gustafson, White, and Fidler of ORBITECTM, 2010.
Metal sulfates may be refined by exposing a mixture of the crushed ore and carbon dust to streams of chlorine gas. Under moderate resistojet heating (1123 K) in titanium chambers (Ti resists attack by Cl), the material is converted to chloride salts such as found in seawater, which can be extracted by electrolysis.
The example shown is the carbochlorination of Al2Cl3 to form aluminum. Al is valuable in space for making wires and cables (copper is rare in space). The electrolysis of Al2Cl3 does not consume the electrodes nor does it require cryolite. However, due to the low boiling point of Al2Cl3, the reaction must proceed under pressure and low temperatures.
Other elements produced by carbochlorination include titanium, potassium, manganese, chromium, sodium, magnesium, silicon and also (with the use of plastic filters) the nuclear fuels 235U and 232Th. Both C and Cl2 must be carefully recycled (the recycling equipment dominates the system mass) and replenished by regolith scavenging.
As I mentioned previously, when it comes to the industrialization and colonization of space, water is the most valuable substance in the Universe.
- It can be electrolytically split into oxygen and hydrogen.
- Water can be drunk by thirsty astronauts
- Water can be fed to hydroponically grown plants
- Water can be used as propellant for nuclear thermal rockets, abet with a performance penalty compared to hydrogen
- Water can be used to create hydrogen peroxide, which is a rocket monopropellant
- Water can be used as coolant in habitat modules and space suits
- Water can be used as radiation shielding with a tenth value thickness of 25.4 centimeters vs particle radiation, and 61 centimeters vs gamma rays.
- Water mixed with sawdust and frozen will create a structural material called Pykrete
- The Spacecoach spacecraft is practically build out of water. So is the composite ship from The Martian Way, and Gallagher's Glacier
However, as anybody who has carried a bucket of water knows, it has plenty of mass, which makes it very expensive to ship from Terra into orbit. Which is why people planning space colonies are so interested in In-Situ Resource Utilization, which in this case is a fancy way of saying "trying to find an ice mine." It would be so much more convenient if the water was already there, so you didn't have to go to the insane expense of importing it.
Sources of water:
- The poles of Luna
- The Martian moons Phobos and Deimos, with Deimos ice being closer to the surface. Rob Davidoff and I worked up a science fiction background where the Martian moon Deimos becomes the water supplier for the entire solar system. We call it Cape Dread.
- C-type (carbonaceous) asteroids are about 10% water
- D-type asteroids have almost as much water ice as comets
- The Jovian moons Callisto, Europa, and Ganymede have ice, though Callisto is the only one clear of Jupiter's radiation belt. Europa might have liquid water due to tidal stress.
- The particles composing the Rings of Saturn are almost entirely water ice
- Comets have the most water ice of all small bodies (although it has other nasty stuff like hydrogen cyanide). Comets are about 40% water ice (50% volatiles, 50% dust; of the volatiles about 80% is water ice). Note that extinct comets have had most of their ice burned away by Sol
There have been hundreds of science fiction stories about asteroid miners (rock rats, rockskippers, meteor-miners or "belters") prospecting the Flying Mountains of the asteroid belt, looking for the mother lode.
Many key elements needed for industry and food production are getting hard to find on Terra, at least in quantities worth mining. In theory, metals such as gold, cobalt, iron, manganese, molybdenum, nickel, osmium, palladium, platinum, rhenium, rhodium, ruthenium, and tungsten (siderophile elements) should be found in asteroids, since that is where Terra's mineable deposits came from in the first place. During Terra's formation when it was all molten, the planetary gravity sucked all those elements right down into the core, where they have been ever since. The mineable deposits are from asteroids that collided with Terra after the crust became solid.
While Terra has lots of water, space don't. And shipping water up Terra's gravity well for space industry is hideously expensive. Finding deposits of ice and other volatiles on asteroids and moons would be a huge help. See In-situ Resource Utilization above.
Both siderophile elements and volatiles are the prime targets of rock rats.
It is a bad idea to mine gold, unless you don't mind crashing Terra's gold market. You will find yourself on the death-list of everybody who was using gold as a hedge against inflation and every nation on the gold standard (as of 2014 there are no such nations, but gold bugs never stop trying to bring it back).
Crashing the platinum market is not as much of a concern, since it is actually useful as a catalyst and for crucibles. But still a concern since hauling huge amounts of platinum or other valuable metal back to Terran markets will reduce the amount of money you'll get for this particular haul. You will have to use mathematical optimization to figure out the optimum amount to haul back. The trouble with gold is that it is so hypersenstive to fluxuations in the amount such that it is difficult to get a profit at all.
|Ceres||975 × 909 km||9.47 × 1020 kg|
|Pallas||582 × 556 × 500 km||2.14 × 1020 kg|
|Vesta||569 × 555 × 453 km||2.59 × 1020 kg|
|Juno||234 km||2.00 × 1019 kg|
The larger asteroids will probably become colonized, and become centers of the rock rats. And maybe future captials of the Asteroid Republic, when the independence revolutionary war happens. The top four largest are in the table.
For more detail refer to the Asteroid Fact Sheet.
Also be aware that the asteroid belt in the Solar System does not look like the one in The Empire Strikes Back, with asteroids as thick as rocks in an avalanche. In our belt, the average separation between asteroids is approximately sixteen times the distance between Terra and Luna. If you are standing on an asteroid, you probably cannot see another one without a telescope.
In Larry Niven's Known Space series, Earth and the Belters of the asteroid belt civilization do not like each other very much. But they need each other. Earth desperately needs the metals and minerals the Belters can supply, and the Belters need vitamins, high-tech equipment and other fancy manufactured goods that Earth can supply.
Amusingly enough the situation is exactly reversed in Sir Arthur C. Clarkes novel Earthlight (1955). He postulates that only Earth has easily mineable deposits of the heavier elements, courtesy of the gravity of Earth's freakishly large moon. The lunar gravity prevents all the heavy element from sinking into the core. Mercury and Venus have no moon, and the moons of Mars are tiny asteroids. So in Clarke's novel, the planetary colonies have to go hat-in-hand to beg Earth for vital elements like titanium, while Earth's level of technology is much less than the colonies (reason not stated but probably due to decay of the fatherland). This leads to tensions since Earth is afraid of being marginalized and is starting to withhold ore shipments.
In reality, in the years since 1955, astronomers now think that heavy elements in planetary crusts came from asteroid bombardment after the crust stopped being molten, and all planets have it.
The type of asteroids of most interest to rock-rats are:
- C-type asteroids: Has lots of water, and carbon compounds useful for growing food (including phosphorus, "life's bottleneck"). Some assay at about 10% water, 10% reduced metal, and 5% metal sulphides. They are mostly water-bearing clay materials and magnetite stuck together with organic polymers. In our solar system approximately 75% of all known asteroids are C-type. "C" is for carbonaceous.
- S-type asteroids: little or no water but lots of metal. A 10 meter S-type asteroid contains about 650 metric tons of metal. 50 kilograms of that is rare metals like platinum and gold. In our solar system approximately 17% of all known asteroids are S-type (the second most common asteroid after C-type). "S" is for stony.
- M-type asteroids: are rare, but contain about ten times as much metal as S-type. They are thought to be pieces of the metallic core of differentiated asteroids that were fragmented by impacts. In our solar system they are the third most common asteroid.
- D-type asteroids: These have almost as much water ice as comets. They are only found in the outer asteroid belt and beyond.
- Comets are not asteroids, but they have the most volatiles of all. Basically icy mudballs. An outer layer of dust covering a weakly competent bituminous roadbase layer around a core of volatiles, silicates, and carbonaceous materials.
There are basically three options for mining:
- Scoop up raw asteroid material and haul it back to Terra for refining. Material can be hauled in cargo rockets, or packaged into canisters and flung into a transfer orbit (1.3 years transit time) by a huge mass driver. Said mass driver will be closely watched by the Spaceguard with an itchy trigger finger. A mis-aimed canister could do severe damage to a space station, lunar base, or Terran city.
Process the raw asteroid material on-site and haul the refined material back to Terra. This has the advantage of only expending delta-V to transport valuable stuff and not worthless rock. The disadvantage is you have to transport the refinery to the asteroid.
You might have a mobile refinery, which is a refinery with built-in rockets (probably a mass driver, since it can use rocks and dirt for propellant).
Haul the entire freaking asteroid to a safe orbit around Terra or Luna.
I'm sure I don't have to point out that entrepreneurs will see business opportunities in the above options. Right off the bat it would probably pay to invest in a mobile or immobile ore refineries. Immobile refineries would be located at strategic spots in the belt, and refine ore brought in by independent rock-rats for a small or not-so small fee. Larger rock-rat strikes would have potential value enough to cover the cost of chartering a mobile refinery to make the journey and do the processing on site. Ore transport services is also a lucrative opportunity, either with a fleet of spacecraft or stationary mass driver cargo launchers.
Some asteroids are flying rubble piles, so they can be harvested with scoops, augers and grabs. Note that the rubble is going to be quite abrasive.
More solid asteroids can be harvested with good old fashioned mine shafts. Positioning mine shafts can be done with Honeywell Ore Retrieval and Tunneling Aid (HORTA) technology (oh, what subtle wits these engineers are).
Metallic grains are often ferromagnetic enough that they can be skimmed off with a large magnet. Note that the metallic grains are too going to be quite abrasive.
Volatiles in comets and D-type asteriods can be harvested with heat. Kuck Mosquitos use this method. Otherwise you can use drills and mole machines.
Of course self-replicating machines can multiply to the point where they can reduce the entire asteroid belt into refined ore, but that's no fun.
Any machinery will have to be physically anchored to the asteroid because it is for darn sure that the asteroid's gravity ain't going to hold it in place. At least the low gravity will make it easier to move the ore around.
It is possible to dock a spacecraft to an asteroid using something like a harpoon and a cable. Unless the asteroid is too much like a rubble pile in space. In that case a harpoon would be as worthless as trying to firmly embed a spear into a layer of Corn Flakes Cereal fifty meters deep.
Water delivered to LEO is worth about $17 million US per metric ton. Steel delivered to Terra's surface is worth about $700 US per metric ton.
In classic science fiction, the state of the art has advanced to the point where not just huge corporations can mine the asteroids. It is available to grizzled old solitary prospectors with the the equivalent of a spacegoing mule.
Freeman Dyson thinks this might not be too out of reach, provided that somebody creates a laser launch facillity. Dyson foresees a time where you can buy a space capsule for about the price of a present-day house and car. Add a small fee to have it and yourself boosted into LEO by the laser launch site and you are halfway to anywhere. Certainly halfway to the Asteroid Belt. Jerry Pournelle says it might be liike Ward Bond in Wagon Train, a train of mom & pop space capsules dragged to the Asteroid Belt by an ion drive hauler.
And our grizzled old meteor prospectors might even be able to find "grubstakes". This is when somebody wealthy advances you some money to fund your astereoid exploration, in exchange for you giving the wealthy one a cut of the profits on any discoveries you make. Naturally if you have a track record for failure nobody is going to offer you any grubstakes.
Note that asteroid mining is not a good enough economic reason for an extensive manned presence in space (though that is not stopping the Planetary Resources Corporation).
The study was to determine the feasibility of mining asteroids. The Robotic Asteroid Prospector (RAP) is an autonomous vehicle that can harvest water from asteroids. Keeping in mind that for space industsrialization, water is the most valuable thing in the universe. Water that is outside of Terra's gravity well, of course. Later, more advanced models can smelt and purify the non-water part of the asteroids to harvest other elements.
It has a similar function to a Kuck Mosquito, obtaining water from asteroids. Except the Kuck sticks a little stinger into the asteroid to suck out water, while the RAP swallows small asteroids whole and slices them into gravel with death rays.
|Terra Departure||3.50||Based on LEO departure to account for initial deployment. Excess Delta V can be applied to subsequent maneuvers.|
|Asteroid Departure||1.35||Propellant for this maneuver and Terra Arrival can be provided by water mined from the asteroid|
|Terra Arrival||2.50||Does not include use of Lunar Gravity assist to reduce Delta V requirements|
Mission start and end at one of the Earth-Moon Lagrange points. The problem of long synodic periods between Hohmann launch windows for Earth — Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) is ameliorated by using gravitational swing-bys of Venus and Mars. This not only shortens the delay between launch windows, it also reduces the mission delta-V. The cost can be reduced if water reaction mass can be scraped up from the Lunar poles and delivered to the RAP, instead of the insane expense of hauling it up Terra's gravity well. Once the RAP program goes into full production there will be plenty of orbital water available for future missions.
Propulsion is by solar moth using water as reaction mass. This allows in-situ resource utilization, that is, it can refill its remass tanks at the asteroid. Water is also pleasingly dense and non-cryogenic, unlike that liquid hydrogen with its annoying low density and requirement for cryogenic coolers to prevent the blasted stuff from boiling away.
Since the solar moth's "fuel" is sunlight, it will not run out of that for billions of years.
The study figures a solar moth using water remass can have about the same specific impulse of a chemical engine (I guess they mean about 450 seconds, an exhaust velocity of around 4,400 m/s). But with the advantage of in-situ replenishing its remass tanks, no cryogenic coolers needed, and the ability to use tanks that are smaller in radius than King Kong's testicles.
The RAP has two huge inflatable solar mirrors, for three reasons:
- Sunlight as fuel for the solar moth engine, to heat the water propellant
- Intense beams of sunlight to chop up the target asteroid into chunks and process to extract water
- Solar energy to run a Stirling cycle engine, producing one megawatt of electrical power
Each of the two mirrors are 10 meters in radius for a total surface area of about 628 square meters.
The RAP is built around a graphite composite spinal truss with triangular cross section, 40 meters long and three meters wide. The fore end has the mining equipment inside the asteroid containment vessel. The aft has the solar moth engine and propellant tanks, flanked by the two solar mirrors. The center has the tanks to store the harvested water, and other subsystems. The truss is open in the center, to allow a clear path for the intense solar beams to be directed from the two mirrors into the containment chamber.
As the RAP approaches a likely-looking asteroid, it will deploy a flock of Asteroid Reconnaissance Probes (ARProbes). These will collect samples of the asteroid from various locations and return them for analysis. The probable water content of the entire asteroid will be calculated, to determine if it is worth mining or not.
Assuming it is, what comes next depends upon the asteroid's diameter. If it is less than 25 meters in diameter, the RAP will swallow it with the containment chamber and process it with solar beams. If it is larger a swarm of Spider mining robots will be dispatched. Early model spiders will transport chunks of asteroid to RAP for processing. Late model spiders can process asteroid bits in situ, and transport the water back to RAP.
Asteroid water comes in two forms: free water and bound water. Free water is basically ice, and can be extracted by moderately heating the asteroidal material and allowing the water vapor to condense on a cold finger. Bound water is in the form of hydrated chemicals, and needs more work to extract. Meaning you have to intensely heat the stuff to a whopping 500°C.
Harvested water is stored in the central tanks, and the excess is used to top-off the remass tanks. When the RAP has a full load, and the Hohmann launch window arrives, it departs for Terra. The pictured model of RAP carries a payload of 150 metric tons of water.
In the science-fiction novel Delta-V, the mining robots are APIS™ and Honey Bee™ designs created by the real-world TransAstra Corporation, and used in the novel by permission. APIS stands for Asteroid Provided In-situ Supplies. It is a pun on "apis" which is the genus that includes the species honeybee (because like bees Apis efficiently gathers and returns useful resources and then utilizes those resources to perform useful work). A PDF report with more detail about the Honey Bees is available here.
The problem is that asteroids such as Ryugu are more like a pile of gravel in free fall than it is a solid lump of rock. So if you used jack-hammers or explosives you'd just scatter the gravel all over the solar system. Then comes the problem of refining the blasted stuff.
Honey Bees use optical mining, bagging rocks in large sacks and using beams of concentrated sunlight to spall the rock into tiny pieces. Ryugu's orbit has a perihelion of 0.9633 AU and an aphelion of 1.4159 AU. So the solar flux varies from 1.08 to 0.5 that of Terra, or from 1.48 to 0.683 kilowatts per square meter. Each Honey Bee has a pair of 7.5 m radius parabolic mirrors. Therefore each can gather up to 382 to 242 kilowatts of sunlight to spall the ore.
The ship carries drone robots that look like three-legged spiders, with the legs being 18 meters long. These are based on technology created for NASA’s canceled Asteroid Redirect Mission. They walk around on Ryugu's surface looking for likely bolders up to 10 meters in diameter possessing surface spectra of useful elements. When one is found, the drone stradles the bolder with its legs, drills into it with small mandible-like arms, then pushes off Ryugu. Once it has the bolder off Ryugu's surface, it leaves it there and returns to Ryugu to prospect some more.
A Honey Bee then rendezvous with the bolder. It opens up a large bag and wraps it around the bolder. It then focuses its twin parabolic mirrors on the Sun, and directs the beam on the bagged bolder. Frozen volatile ices are vaporized. The vapors are prevented from escaping by the bag. A cold trap condenses the volatiles in a side pouch. The process of vaporizing embedded ice spalls the surface of the bolder into tiny gravel. Eventually the entire bolder has been reduced to a form suitable for the ship's refinery to work on. All the volatile ices have been extracted, but the volatiles that are chemicaly bound in minerals (the "hydrates") are still there.
The ore is taken out of the Honey Bee's bag and put into the spacecraft refinery's reaction chamber. First the refinery heats the gravel to 500°C, causing the hydrates to release their volatiles. This is mostly water vapor, but also includes ammonia, carbon monoxide, nitrogen, methane, hydrogen cyanide, and hydrogen sulfide. These are all valuable chemicals, especially the water. The reaction chamber is spun like a washing machine to condense the volatiles into a liquid and to get them out of the chamber. This liquid is piped into storage for later purification. There hydrogen peroxide and postassium permanganate is used to oxidize out the non-water chemicals, leaving pure water. The water can be used as is, or cracked into hydrogen and oxygen. Hydrogen peroxide and postassium permanganate reagents can be synthesised from asteroid elements.
By this stage all the volatiles in ices and volatiles in hydrates have been extracted. There remains some more stubborn volatiles.
The remaining rock in the reaction chamber now undergoes "benefication", which means concentrating the valuable stuff by throwing away the worthless stuff. This process also extracts the more stubborn valueable volatiles. The first step is to pressurize the reaction chamber with pure hydrogen and heated to 800°C. Stubborn volatiles such as hydrogen, carbon dioxide, sulfur, nitrogen, hydrocarbons, chlorine, sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, and assorted amino acids are extracted. These are also spun out from the chamber and stored for later filtration.
At this point the ore in the reaction chamber has had its mass reduced by about half because all the volatiles have been extracted. What remains is the involatile residue. About a third of the residue is valuable iron-nickel-cobalt alloy. This is now purified by an acid leach, which removes everything except the alloy and the silicates. Acid is injected into the chamber, causing a furious chemical reaction. The chamber is spun again to remove the acid and the impurities: phosphorus, sodium, potassium calcium, and magnesium. They are called "impurities" but all are useful elements, they are captured and stored. The acids used in the leach can be synthesised from elements obtained earlier in the process so this is sustainable.
The remainder is iron-nickel-cobalt alloy plus silicates. On Terra this would be purified by smelting in a furnace, but that's a very bad idea in a spacecraft. So an alternate method is used. The idea is to separate the iron-nickel-cobalt alloy into its component elements by successive gasification. The chamber is heated to 100°C, carbon monoxide is injected, and the pressure raised to two atmospheres. Nickel reacts first combining with four carbon monoxide molecules to form nickel tetracarbonyl gas (very toxic). This is removed by spinning the chamber and stored; leaving the iron, cobalt, and silicates. Next the pressure is increased. Now the iron reacts with five carbon monoxide molecules to become iron pentacarbonyl gas (also toxic). It too is spun out of the chamber and stored; leaving the cobalt and the silicates. Finally the chamber temperature is increased to 200°C and the pressure increased to 10 atmospheres. Now the cobalt combines with eight carbon monoxide molecules to form dicobalt octacarbonyl gas (yes, this is toxic too). It is also spun out and stored. At room temperature and pressure the stored nickel and iron carbonyls condense into liquids, which makes them easier to handle (easier than handling red-hot gas at any rate). The stored cobalt carbonyl becomes a powder, but can be turned back into a gas by heating it to a modest 52°C.
The bolder has now been rendered down into valuable water, iron, nickel, and colbalt; plus other assorted chemicals.
What's left is silicate residue, basically sand. The worthless stuff. It currently isn't useful for anything other than bulk radiation shielding. But in the future it may be used to synthesize silicon or glass. And later still there may be a method invented that can economically extract the tiny amount of platinum group metals.
Near Earth Objects
Martin Elvis studied access to Near Earth Objects (NEO) in his paper HOW MANY ORE-BEARING ASTEROIDS?. These might not be the richest asteroids, but at least they are closer than the asteroid belt. By definition a NEO has to be closer than 1.3 AU to Terra at some point. The required delta-V to reach an asteroid is of paramount importance but lower distance means shorter transit times. Or shorter lightspeed-lag time if you are using teleoperated mining drones.
The return delta-V is more important than the outbound delta-V. Presumably the returning spacecraft will have far more mass since the mining equipment weights less than the mined ore.
Lance A. M. Benner calculated a convenient table of outbound delta-V costs to travel by Hohmann trajectories from LEO to various NEOs (using the method explained in Earth-Approaching Asteroids as Targets for Exploration). They are in a range of 3.8 km/sec to 28.0 km/sec with a median of 6.65 km/sec.
Elvis used the convenient table to make the above graph. H is the absolute magnitude or brightness of the asteroid, which is used to estimate the diameter of the blasted thing. Telescopes can easily determine absolute magnitude of an asteroid, diameter is really hard. The higher the absolute magnitude, the lower the diameter. H = 22 is approximately 100 meters in diameter for the average asteroid albedo (0.05). H > 22 is diameter < 100 m, H < 22 is diameter > 100 m, H = 25 to 27 is about diameters from 24 to 60 meters.
Doing some calculation Elvis figured that if a mission planner would settle for 4.5 km/s missions instead of 6.65 km/s, the spacecraft could carry double or even quadrupal payloads to the NEO (compared to a 6.65 km/s mission).
It is a pity that 4.5 km/s only allows visiting a very small fraction of NEOs.
For NEOs with H>22 (smaller than 100 meters in diameter, blue curve in graph), 4.5 km/s only lets one travel to 2.5% of them (yellow line in graph). 5.7 km/s would let you travel to 25% of H>22 NEOS (orange line in graph).
For NEOs with H<22 (larger than 100 m diameter) 4.5 km/s will only let you travel to 0.1% of them (0.01 yellow-green line). 6.2 km/s will get you to 10% of them (0.1 yellow-green line).
But the valuable piece of data that Elvis was interested in was that OSIRIS-REx was sent to its destination using 5 km/sec of delta-V from an off-the-shelf Atlas V rocket. Plotting it on his graph, it said that an Atlas V could send a space probe to about 3% of all known NEOs (gold line).
Elvis sat up in his chair when he learned about SpaceX's Falcon Heavy. That monster could send a space probe off with 7 km/sec of delta-V. Which opens up access to 45% of all known NEOs, about fifteen times as many as the Atlas V. Using quite a few simplifying assumptions Elvis estimates the additional asteroids will have a total value in the ballpark of $150 billion US.
Be aware of the simplifying assumptions. Meaning that the values here are close approximations but not exact. If you want exact you will need NASA-grade trajectory software.
- Mission: origin planet - destination planet
- Orbit ΔV: Orbit-to-Orbit. Delta-V cost a spacecraft has to pay for Hohmann starting in low orbit at origin and ending in low orbit at destination
- Orbit T: Orbit-to-Orbit. Transit time for a spacecraft in a Hohmann starting and ending in low orbit around the two planets. Y=years, M=months
- SYN: Synodic period, (long) delay between one Hohmann launch window and the next
- ANG: Orbital phase angle between origin and destination planets at Hohmann launch window (see diagram above)
- Insert ΔV: Delta-V cost for trans-Destination insertion burn at start of Hohmann trajectory
- Arrive ΔV: Delta-V cost for Destination orbital insertion (arrival) burn at end of Hohmann trajectory
- Surf ΔV: Surface-to-Surface. Delta-V total cost for lift-off from origin, Hohmann trajectory, then landing at destination
- Rnd Orbit ΔV: Delta-V total cost for Orbital Round Trip. Start at low orbit at origin, Hohmann to low orbit at destination, then Hohmann to low orbit at origin
- Rnd Surf ΔV: Delta-V total cost for Surface Round Trip. Lift-off from origin, Hohmann trajectory, land at destination, lift-off from destination, Hohmann trajectory, land at origin
- Wait T: Wait Time. For round trip, after spacecraft arrives at destination, amount of time ship must wait at destination until homeward Hohmann window opens
- Rnd T: Round Trip Time. Total time for round trip, including wait time at destination
The standard science fiction trope of an asteroid miner is a misanthropic crazy coot Miner-Forty-Niner, in outer space. Except unlike the American West it takes lots of skill and high-tech equipment to keep a person alive in space.
In the early days the only justice will be what you can make with your six-shooter laser pistol. Later there will be Asteroid Mining Law. Much later there may be an Asteroid Revolutionary War of independence.
As previously mentioned, common nick-names for asteroid miners are rock rats, rockskippers, meteor-miners and belters (because they work in the asteroid belt).
The system will probably be roughly similar to the process as seen historically on Terra.
- Some lucky asteroid miner will stumble over a valuable deposit of mineral on a remote asteroid. Despite their efforts to keep it a secret, the cry will go up "Thar's Gold in them thar hills!" The gold rush is on.
- A wannabe rock-rat will hear this, and somehow manage to purchase a minimun set of rock-rat essential tools. Grubstakes may be involved. They go to the general area of the gold rush and start prospecting.
- If the novice rock-rat is very lucky, they will beat the million-to-one odds and actually find a small asteroid that has something halfway profitable. The rest will gradually go downhill, much like compulsive gamblers and for similar reasons, because asteroid mining can become a drug.
- The rock-rat will stake a claim on their discovery.
- If the rock-rat is real lucky, their claim will NOT be stolen by claim-jumpers. Polite claim-jumpers just steal the claim to the asteroid by some illegal means. Impolite claim-jumpers murder the rock-rat, steal all their gear, and then steal the claim.
- The miner will then either start mining operations, or sell the claim in exchange for quick cash.
- If the miner hires people to help work the claim, care must be taken to catch any dishonest hires who try to steal valuable ores. This is called High-grading.
- In some cases, the valuable discovery is not so much a flying mountain with a vein of ore, but rather a small bolder. So rather than stake a claim the rock-rat will probably haul the bolder to a place where they can sell it.
A couple of science fiction stories have pointed out that asteroid miners might use mining lasers to slice asteroids. The implication is that the only difference between a mining laser and a weapons-grade laser is the aiming system. This could come in handy if wage slave asteroid miners decide to force negotiations on their megacorporation bosses, or for an asteroid revolutionary war of independence. Miners also have access to other high-energy sources that can be weaponized, such as: chemical and nuclear mining explosives, large solar mirrors, and mass-drivers.
The United States had to set up a system for mining claims to handle the insanity of the California Gold Rush. Up until then California was using Mexican mining law. That gave the right to mine to the first one to discover a mineral deposit and begin mining it. Which limited the area that could be claimed by one person to a patch of ground small enough to be mined by one person. US mining law was based on prior appropriation, where the plot was granted to the first one to put it to beneficial use.
- Prospector discovers a valuable mineral in quantities that a "prudent man" would think worthwhile to invest time and expenses to recover
- Prospector marks the claim boundaries. US law specifies wooden or steel posts at least four fee tall, or stone cairns at least three feet tall. In science fiction asteroid miners generaly use radio beacons and/or blinking lights.
- Prospector must file a claim with both the land management agency (USFS or BLM) and the local county registrar. In Nat Schachner science fiction story, the proper agency to file a claim critically depends upon jursdiction.
The claim is now officially an unpatented claim. The prospector must now either continue mining/exploration activities on the claim or pay a fee to the land management agency once a year. Otherwise the claim becomes null and void, the land is considered abandoned.
The claim can be upgraded to a patented claim when the federal government isues the prospector a patent (deed) to the claim. To earn this the prospector has to prove to the feds that the claim contains locatable minerals that can be extracted at a profit. Once they have a patent the prospector can use the land for whatever they blasted please, just like any other real estate.
A person who tries to seize the claimed land from the prospector is a "claim jumper."
Since asteroid prospecting is a much more expensive venture than a Miner-Forty-Niner heading to California, there is an even bigger demand for wealthy individual offering "grubstakes." This is money, materials, tools, food etc. provided to a prospector in return for a share in future profits.
Obviously the more times a miner has been given a grubstake but have nothing to show for it, the bigger the share of future profits will be demanded for a new stake. And eventually no grubstake will be offered at all, since the incompetent miner obviously couldn't find gold inside Fort Knox. You will find such loser rock-rats in various bars in various miner's hells, crying drops of tears to hover in the general vicinity of their beer-bulbs. Don't go flashing any ostentatious signs of wealth in such places, or they will cluster around you and whine for a grubstake.
Equally obviously if the miner does actually strike something valuable, the person who supplied the grubstake will start watching the mining operation like a hawk to ensure that they get their fair share. Rock-rats who are caught understating their profits will find themselves in a universe of trouble.
This is also the point where the rock-rats discover they should have read all the fine print in the contract.
Occasionally you'll find the word "grubstake" used to just mean "enough money accumulated to fund a prospecting mission", without the additional "from a backer who wants shares of the profit." This means something like the rock-rat working at some dull low-paying job for a long time, and banking all they can save.
Polite claim-jumpers just steal the claim to the asteroid by some illegal means. Impolite claim-jumpers murder the rock-rat, steal all their gear, and then steal the claim. Smart claim-jumpers bribe workers at the claim office in order to get advanced notice about lucrative new claims.
Moving an asteroid from out in the boondocks into a more convenient orbit around Luna or Terra can be a big savings for an asteroid miner. The drawback includes the hefty delta V energy price, and the fact that if you make a mistake the resulting accidental asteroid strike could devastate Terra.
Asteroids being moved will be very closely monitored by the Spaceguard. If the asteroid strays off the flight path (specified in the asteroid moving permit), the Spaceguard will instantly "neutralize" the asteroid controllers (i.e., make the rock rats surrender at gunpoint or launch a military strike if the rock rats resist) and re-direct the asteroid into the proper path. The existing equipment will be used if the rock rat surrender (or if the equipment survives the military strike). Otherwise the Spaceguard will use their own equipment, carted along for just such emergencies.
When it comes to moving asteroids that could wipe out all signs of civilization on Terra, the Spaceguard has absolutely no sense of humor whatsoever.
Of course, just obtaining the initial permit from the Spaceguard will be a major undertanking in and of itself.
There was an entertaining bit in Poul Anderson's Ramble with a Gamblin' Man (1970). After the Asteroid Revolutionary War, the asteroids in the Leading Jupiter Trojans asteroids still belonged to Terra, but pretty much the entire belt is now part of the independent Asteroid Republic.
Terra, desperate to keep feeding bread and circuses to their global welfare state, has to make up for the lost revenue now that the asteroids are independent (yes, Poul Anderson firmly believes in the Decay of the Fatherland). So they put the squeeze on Odysseus, largest of the Leading Trojans. And while they are at it, the puritanical elements in the Terran government want to shut down anything on Odysseus that even vaguely looks like "vice" or even "fun."
The Odysseans are facing ruin. Until the protagonist has a brilliant idea.
The people in the story use a handwaving antigravity technology called gee-gees. This is used for spacecraft and for terraforming asteroids. However, in theory it could be used to move an asteroid. Assuming you have access to huge amounts of water for hydrogen to feed fusion reactors to power the geegees.
Under the Convention of Vesta, possession of an asteroid depends upon the nationality of whoever first lands and files a claim with Space Control Central. But the interesting part is that asteroids are identified by their orbits. I'm sure you see where this is leading.
Under some flimsy pretext of moving the Odyssean ice reserves into a more advantageous location, they openly set up the reactors and geegess required to turn the asteroid into a spaceship. After about a years worth of thrusting, Odysseus leaves the Trojan cluster. Odysseus is no longer identified by its old orbit. It is considered to legally be a new asteroid.
Before Terra realizes what is happening, an Asteroid Republic ship lands on Odysseus, claims it, files the claim with Space Control Central, and a bunch of Asteroid Republic warship take up orbit just in case Terra gets any ideas. Odysseus is saved!
Since antigravity is more or less fantasy, asteroid miners will need more mundane methods to move their asteroids. A popular choice is using mass drivers, since they can use the rocky body of the asteroid itself as reaction mass.
In Michael McCollum's novel Thunder Strike! they alter the orbits of asteroids with charges of antimatter, in torus-shaped Penning traps. This is much more dramatic, but much more extravagant. Antimatter is many things, but "cheap" ain't one of them.
Nanotechnology is the hot new technology, or is it really new? Using tiny machines to perform molecular tasks is basically what fermentation is, which has been used since the neolithic era to make such things as beer, wine, and cheese. The only difference is one uses naturally occuring microbes as nanomachines instead of rolling your own.
In the world of mining useful elements, this is called Bioleaching.
Bioleaching is currently used to extract such elements as copper, zinc, lead, arsenic, antimony, nickel, molybdenum, gold, silver, and cobalt. The main advantages are
- Uses much less energy than roasting and smelting
- Is a much cheaper process due to fewer steps and no need for close supervision
- Will work on ores where the valuable element concentration is too low to profitably extract by conventional means
The main disadvantage is that bioleaching is much slower.
The company Deep Space Industries is looking into injecting genetically engineered microbes into asteroid and moons. These microbes would concentrate the valuable elements into chunks worth the while of a visit by a robot asteroid miner. One would think that the lack of air and utter cold would instantly kill the microbes, but these germs are remarkably tough. Some microbes do not even need oxygen, and many asteroids get enough solar heat to be quite cozy inside.
Bioleaching is also useful for recycling. For example, a broken circuit board can be thrown into the bioleach tank, reduced to component elements, then sent to the 3D printer. No need for an energy expensive fusion torch as long as there is no hurry.
On the one hand, the delta V cost to reach the asteroids or the Martian moons is quite a bit less than to reach the Lunar surface. On the other hand, transit times to the asteroids is measured in years, while transit to Luna is measured in days. It is a trade off.
The lunar poles contain valuable deposits of ice.
The entire surface of Luna is covered by a layer of regolith (the result of billions of years of meteorite strikes). It is several meters thick in the lunar mare regions, and ten or more meters thick in the older highland areas. The upper few centimeters are like dust, but by a depth of 30 cm it has become very compacted. The average grain size is about 60 μm but there is a mixing of larger rock fragments.
The point is that lunar mining can be done by just scooping up regolith.
Another special type of regolith is pyroclastic deposits aka volcanic ash. Unlike other regoliths they contain significant volatiles, and when you are trying to extract oxygen from regolith it is easier to crush pyroclastic glass than it is to crush crystal silicates.
Titanium is useful for constructing rocket-powered vehicles due to its absurdly low mass for its strength. It can be found in Lunar Ilmenite ore, but currently there are no other known high-concentration sources (other than on Terra). Asteroids contain only microscopic fractions of titanium. On Luna a "High titanium basalt" is one with more than 6% titanium by weight, it can go up to 8%.
The lunar highland regoliths have high concentrations of aluminum, typically 10 to 18% by weight. Asteroids are lucky to have 1%. Aluminium is a splendid rocket framework material, and it can even be used as rocket fuel with oxygen.
All lunar rocks are about 20% silicon by weight, which is usefull for constructing solar power cells.
And yes, the regolith has absorbed the solar wind over the aeons. Fanatics think the absorbed helium-3 is a prime MacGuffinite, but the sad fact of the matter is that the concentration is so miniscule it really isn't worth it. It would be more profitable to try and extract gold from seawater. Seawater can have up to 44 parts-per-billion (ppb) of gold, lunar regolith has an average abundance of 4 ppb helium-3.
Lunar Materials Production Label Build
(cumulative with "builds upon")
Additional Materials Produced
(cumulative with "builds upon")
1 N/A Sieve and/or grind regolith Regolith 2 1 Molten Regolith Electrolysis “Mongrel Alloy”
3 1,2 Vacuum Distillation or equivalent Elemental Aluminum, Iron, Magnesium, Calcium, Silicon, Titanium.
(Also, if regolith obtained from KREEP terrane, then Potassium, Rare Earth Elements, and Phosphorus)
4 1-3 Metals Refinery Good alloys 5 N/A Ice Mining & Distillation H2O, CO, CO2, NH3, many compounds and trace metals 6 5 Fischer Tropsch process CH4, plastics, rubbers 7 1-6 Metals Refinery including carbon from 5 & 6 Steel 8 1-3 Slaking and cement production Lime and cement 9 1-8 Advanced processes Anything you want
Based on an earlier proposal, the method is a three-drum slusher, also known as a cable-operated drag scraper (Ingersoll-Rand Company 1939, Church 1981). Its terrestrial application is quite limited, as it is relatively inefficient and inflexible.
The method usually finds use in underwater mining from the shore and in moving small amounts of ore underground. It uses the same material-moving principles as more efficient, high-volume draglines.
The slusher is proposed here because the LOX-to-LEO project is a very small operation by terrestrial standards and requires a method that minimizes risk. The three- drum slusher has already proven itself in this context. It has the advantages of simplicity, ruggedness, and a very low mass to be delivered to the Moon. When lunar mining scales up, the lunarized slusher will be replaced by more efficient, high-volume methods, as has already happened here on Earth.
The Machine and Duty Cycle
Before discussing the advantages of the machine in a small-scale startup lunar mining scenario, I will describe the slusher and its duty cycle. It consists of the following modules (see figs. 18 and 19):
- A mobile power unit and loading station—including three drums around which the cables are wound, a mechanism to place anchors, a mechanism to change tools, an optional operator cab, a dozer blade, and a conveyor to load material into the electrostatic separator
- Three lengths of cable to operate the scraper or other mining tools
- Two anchored pulleys
- Interchangeable working tools, including scrapers, rakes, plows, and rippers
The duty cycle starts with machine setup. The mobile power/loader unit places two pulleys at appropriate locations at the mine site. They could be anchored by large augers in the firm regolith below the loose soil or by other methods. The preferred anchoring method depends on specific site characteristics. After the pulleys are anchored, the power unit similarly anchors itself. The two pulleys and the power unit form a V-shaped mining area. Because machine setup is done only infrequently, is a complex job, and requires firm anchoring, it could be left as a manual operation. For one reason, the anchoring augers might hit buried rocks before they are successfully emplaced. Further study may show that automated or teleoperated setup is also feasible and more desirable.
However, I will mention one major alternative—a stationary power/loader unit (fig. 20), which is the terrestrial configuration. In this case, the slusher itself would be far simpler, but such a system would require an auxiliary vehicle to transport the slusher from site to site and set it up. A stationary slusher would be less able to remove unexpected obstacles from the pit, as I will discuss. Either way, the excavation duty cycle is basically the same.
After setup, the excavation duty cycle begins with the scraper (or other tool) at the loading station. The scraper can be moved to any point within the V by a combination of tensions on the two outhaul cables. After reaching the desired position, usually as far into the pit as possible, the scraper is pulled back to the power/loader unit by the inhaul cable. During inhaul, a combination of inhaul force and scraper weight causes the scraper to fill with loose regolith and carry it back to the power/loader unit. Here the material is pulled up the ramp, discharged from the scraper onto the conveyor, and loaded directly into the mill module.
The mill is the electrostatic separator described by Agosto in the section on beneficiation. The separator should be in direct contact with the slusher. This eliminates rehandling of the mined material, resulting in a significant energy saving, since 90 percent of the mined material will be rejected by the separator. The waste from the separator is dumped away from the production area by ballistic transport or another method. Waste transport need only be far enough to keep the separator and slusher from being buried in their own waste.
The box-like scraper will have closed sides to keep the very fine regolith from spilling out, as has been the terrestrial experience.
Because the machine defines its own mining area and machine motions are repetitive, the scraping operation is a reasonable candidate for automation. Feedback control for automatic loading of the scraper will be supplied through sensing the inhaul cable tension. Loading always requires complex motion control, but the problem is more easily resolved with a limited-motion machine such as the slusher than with fully mobile equipment, such as front-end loaders, which have unlimited freedom of motion.
After mining starts, the mobile power unit generally does not move. If an obstacle is uncovered in the pit, the mobile version of the power/loader unit can detach from its anchor and move into the pit. (The anchor is not removed from the soil unless the machine is moving to another site.) To facilitate pit work, the loading ramp is tilted up and a dozer blade extends to its working position. The blade can push boulders out of the pit or mine a small selected area. Because the power/loader unit is lightweight and consequently has poor traction characteristics, it must pull against the outhaul cables when it works a load in the pit. The complexity and uniqueness of this job argue against automating it, but automation is not impossible and teleoperation is a possibility. Both setup and power unit pit work can be done by teleoperation, except for handling severe unforeseen problems that require human intervention.
During normal operation, electric power is supplied to the power/loader unit by a stationary cable. When the power/loader unit works the pit, it gets its power through a cable reel located at the anchor. One advantage of stationary mining equipment such as the slusher (even the mobile version moves very little during excavation) is simplicity of power supply. Most mobile terrestrial equipment has diesel power, which is rugged, capable, efficient, and, most importantly, onboard. These loaders are very flexible and rugged earth-movers. The lunar alternatives are less satisfactory. Lunar loaders with onboard power would probably use electric motors driven by fuel cell or battery technology. Both are expensive options. Versions with external power must be fed electricity through a trailing cable. Terrestrial experience has shown that trailing cables are high maintenance items, but adaptation to the Moon is possible. Another possibility is a new-technology internal combustion engine, but developing the engine and finding lunar fuel sources are difficult problems.
The Lunar Environment and Machine Design Principles
The major reason for proposing the three-drum slusher is to illustrate problems to be expected in a lunar mining project.
Simplicity in Design and Operation
Compared to other mining machinery, the three-drum slusher is quite simple in design and operation. This simplicity yields several interrelated advantages.
- Fewer moving parts, resulting in fewer failures per operating hour
- Simpler repair, reducing downtime after a failure
- Smaller inventory of repair parts, hence less weight to transport to the Moon
- Simpler parts, with faster adaptability to lunar manufacture
- Less redesign for lunar conditions, with consequently lower R&D costs
- Fewer degrees of freedom than mobile equipment, and therefore relative ease of automation
- Fewer project startup problems
Mobile mining equipment depends on traction to generate sufficient loading forces on the blade or scraper. Most terrestrial mobile equipment loads near its traction limit. On the Moon, reduced gravity creates a less favorable inertia:traction ratio. Increases in traction are achieved by increases in mass, but increases in mass add inertia, which decreases control of a moving machine. To achieve the same traction as on the Earth, a mobile machine on the Moon would have to have six times as much mass. This greater mass would cause correspondingly higher inertial resistance to turning and slowing.
Slusher loading forces are supplied through the cable, thus almost eliminating traction problems. The scraper bucket will have to be more massive than on Earth, simply to cause the bucket to fill. To lower launch weight, the extra mass needed by the scraper bucket can be supplied by lunar rocks.
Since the slusher is a relatively low-production method, upscale lunar mining projects will eventually use mobile mining methods. It is necessary to address inertia- traction problems as early as possible. Further study may find that long-term considerations argue for using mobile equipment from the very beginning. As with the scraper bucket, the extra traction mass can be supplied by lunar materials. Perhaps traction could be improved by new tread or track designs.
Mining Flexibility and Selectivity
The lunar slusher differs from the terrestrial slusher by one major design addition: the power unit is mobile rather than stationary. This allows the machine to set itself up and eliminates the need for an auxiliary vehicle. Most important, by adding a dozer blade, the machine can doze undesirable rocks from the pit. Such large rocks would impede mining operations if the power unit were stationary.
The mobile power unit makes the machine more selective. By allowing the power/loader unit to reposition, the slusher has some ability to separate different soils during the mining process or to go into the pit and mine a small area of interest.
Mining Tools for Selecting Particle Size and Breaking Regolith
The ability to change from a scraper to a rake allows the machine to select different size fractions. For example, if fines are required, the area can be raked on the outhaul, so that oversized rocks are moved to the far side of the pit. Then the rake can be exchanged for a scraper to mine the remaining fines. If larger sizes are desired, they can be raked in on the inhaul.
Other tools, such as rippers or plows, are used to break difficult ground. Lower levels of lunar regolith appear to have a high degree of compaction (Carrier 1972) and must be broken before mining can take place. Although it is the usual terrestrial practice, chemical explosive blasting appears to be prohibited by the high cost to transport the explosives to the Moon. The ripper or plow greatly increases machine working depth. It has already been established that the slusher, unlike mobile loading equipment, is independent of traction. This traction independence allows the slusher to break difficult ground while still maintaining a light weight. More lunar geotechnical engineering data is needed, however, and the design of the ripper is unknown. The ripper probably needs an attached weight to force it into the regolith. A plow may be better than a ripper, as its shape helps pull it into the soil, making it less gravity dependent.
Two Environmental Factors
In addition to one-sixth gravity, there are two other significant lunar environmental factors worth noting: temperature extremes and electrostatic dust. Temperature extremes are easily answered by shutting down during the lunar night. Heating selected equipment components is feasible, if more expensive. Electrostatic dust is more of a problem. Machinery bearings must be protected, a problem exacerbated by the lunar vacuum, where lubricants may evaporate. One significant feature of the slusher is that it uses very few bearings, even in the mobile version. Lunar bearing designs and lubrication methods must be developed regardless of the mining method used.
Machine Specifications and Fleet Mix
The specifications and fleet mix I present are for the mobile lunar slusher. The reader should note that alternative methods, such as the stationary slusher, were included to illustrate lunar mining design problems and are not specified here. The data given below are for the proposed baseline mobile lunar three-drum system.
The needed raw material for a 100-metric-ton LOX-to-LEO project is 40 000 metric tons. The machine specified below is oversized by a factor of 2.5 or a yearly rate of 100 000 metric tons. This oversizing is to ensure the production is easily accomplished, while demonstrating that a significantly oversized machine is relatively lightweight. Even with this large oversizing, the hourly production is about 25 metric tons per hour. This rate is close to the lowest rate shown on the production table of one manufacturer.
Specifications Yearly production 100 000 metric tons Span and reach 50 meters Mined depth 2 meters Scraper capability 2 cubic meters Mobile slusher weight 4.5 metric tons Auxiliary vehicle weight 1.5 metric tons Ballistic transporter 1 metric ton Spare parts and tools 2 metric tons Operation and maintenance 2 people Foundry (optional) 5 metric tons Total weight (without foundry) 9 metric tons Fleet mobile slusher 1 auxiliary vehicle with
small multipurpose crane
1 ballistic transporter 1
Lunar Mining Operations
The baseline self-propelled slusher excavates a triangular area 50 meters in base and height. At a mining depth of 2 meters, approximately 9000 metric tons are excavated per setup. Approximately one setup per lunar day yields a yearly raw material production of 100 000 metric tons. Mining would cease during the night, as the extremely low temperatures would make operation difficult. But milling could continue, as the mill is more easily protected from the environment.
Every opportunity should be takento divide the slusher (and other equipment) into modular components. The modules should be as interchangeable and transportable as possible. Two general types of modules envisioned are large functional modules, such as mining units, material crushers, and electrostatic separators, and small equipment modules, such as electric motors and power distribution panels.
Modularity increases flexibility and reduces downtime without adding equipment weight.
- A component needing repair can be replaced on site with a working unit. The defective unit can then be repaired onsite or in the shirt-sleeve environment of a pressurized shop.
- Quick component replacement allows production to continue when one component breaks. When many components break, a producing unit can frequently be assembled from the remaining units.
- Catastrophic failure of a module, such as an electric motor, will not hamper production, as the whole unit can be replaced.
- Increasing production simply means adding more components rather than redesigning or rebuilding the existing facilities. Upgrading one part of the operation with new designs or technology is facilitated by replacing the old components with the new.
Accomplishing modularity is relatively easy in small-production mining facilities-: (By terrestrial standards, the lunar slusher operation is very small.)
A small, self-propelled auxiliary vehicle will probably be necessary, even with a mobile slusher or other mobile mining method. It will find use hauling broken components to the repair shop and replacement modules to their operating positions. as well as hauling people and materials back and forth. It should have a crane to aid in constructing habitats and repairing equipment. Adding a small conveyor to the vehicle would allow it to heap up Joose regolith for habitat shielding. This general-purpose vehicle will be smaller than the vehicle required to move a stationary slusher from site to site.
A pressurized repair shop would facilitate complex repairs by providing a shirt-sleeve environment. There is no good reason to rewind an electric motor in a vacuum. Since lunar dust is ubiquitous and insidious, some system for removing dust from the shop and its equipment must be provided. Equipment from the outside must be cleaned of dust before it enters the shop.
However, a shop would add significant launch weight unless it could be fabricated on the Moon. launch weight considerations dictate a careful mix of tools, equipment, and spare parts for the shop. The shop and repair activities are there to keep the mine operating while helping to keep transportation costs for tools and spare parts to a minimum.
In addition to tools and spare parts, the shop could eventually have a small adjacent foundry to cast pulleys, bearings, and other easily fabricated parts. The foundry will probably not be in the shop but outside in the vacuum. This plan assumes lunar metal production.
Fiberglass ropes of lunar origin to replace Earth-made cables are also candidates for early lunar manufacture, as glass is a byproduct of LOX production. Glass manufacturing methods were not considered here.
Mine Waste Disposal
Depending on required products and milling processes, some fraction of the mined material will be waste which must be removed from the production area. This fraction can be quite significant (e.g., terrestrial copper operations yield only 10 kg of product per metric ton of ore; thus, 1990 kg of that tonne is waste). The LOX-to- LEO project will generate two types of waste. Fines waste is the soil fraction rejected by electrostatic separation. Slag waste results from the smelting process. Production of liquid oxygen from regolith that is 10 percent ilmenite will generate mostly fines waste, on the order of 90 percent of the material mined or 36 000 metric tons per year. Providing a vehicle for waste disposal would add significant launch weight, and the waste disposal options must be studied.
Robert Waldron and David Carrier have both proposed a ballistic transport mechanism that could be usable in lunar mining. It is well suited to removing fines waste. Using a simple mechanism such as an Archimedean screw or conveyor flights, it is possible to ballistically transport fines waste several hundred meters away from the production area. Their preliminary calculations indicate that the mechanism could be built at a reasonable weight. A ballistic transporter, along with a storage and feed bin, could be added as part of the mill module or as a separate module. The ballistic transporter could also be used to heap up material for habitat shielding.
Ballistic transport of the glassy slag waste from the smelting of ilmenite will be more of a problem. For regolith that is 10 percent by weight ilmenite, the slag waste produced will be on the order of 80 percent of the ilmenite or 3200 metric tons per year. Slag waste will contain much larger and more angular particles, which are less suited to ballistic transport. If the iron is extracted, the slag waste drops to 40 percent or 1600 metric tons per year. These figures are based on 100-percent separation efficiencies.
|Outer Planet Atmo Composition (by volume%)|
First off be aware that there are issues with talking about extraterrestrial sources Helium-3 as an motivation for a huge population of people living in space.
The whole thing started in 1973 with the studies on Project Daedalus. This was an unmanned starship meant to probe Barnard's Star. Since it was planned to reach a peak velocity of 0.12 c you can see it needed gargantuan amounts of fuel. Even then it had to use staging. And it didn't slow down either, it just shot through the Barnard system at 12% lightspeed while frantically snapping pictures. But I digress.
The point is it required something even more powerful than Project Orion nuclear fission pulse units, it had to use deuterium-helium 3 nuclear fusion. Using lots of helium 3. As in "more helium 3 than exists on Planet Terra".
The study figured it could mine helium 3 from the atmosphere of Jupiter, using harvesters supported by hot-air balloons called aerostats (the only thing lighter than a mostly hydrogen atmosphere is hot hydrogen). They calculated it wouldn't take more than 20 years or so to gather the amount Daedalus required. At a rate of 1,500 metric tons of Helium 3 per year! Other studies that focused on just supplying Terra's energy needs suggested that you could get away with only 450 to 500 metric tons per year.
Helium 3 is available in Lunar regolith, but only at levels of 5 to 100 parts per billion by regolith mass (5×10-9 to 1×10-7). Helium 3 in the atmosphere of Jupiter and Uranus is more like 1×10-4 Helium 3 to (common garden-variety) Helium 4 ratio, or 1,000 to 100,000 times greater than Lunar regolith. As you can see from the table, Saturn has much less helium than Jupiter and Uranus.
On the other hand, Luna is quite a bit closer to Terra than Jupiter is. Transporting Helium 3 from the gas giants is going to take years for the trip one-way. In addition, massive brute-force crudely-designed manned tractors slowly chugging away scraping up Lunar regolith are easier to design, manufacture, and maintain. Compared to, for instance, featherweight over-engineered hypersonic robot scoop ships braving gargantuan wind-shear and high gravity eight hundred million kilometers from Terra.
Gas giants also have methane, which contains nitrogen, which is in short supply off Terra but absolutely vital for agriculture. Other attractive resources include:
|Outer Planet Transits|
|♃ Jupiter||43 km/s||24 km/s|
|♄ Saturn||26 km/s||18 km/s|
|♅ Uranus||15 km/s||15 km/s|
|♆ Neptune||17 km/s||15 km/s|
Carting this stuff back to Terra is going to be expensive in terms of delta V. Those gas giants are really far away.
What's worse is the delta V for whatever vehicle is jumping in and out of the atmosphere to scoop up the good stuff. At Jupiter, a solid core nuclear thermal rocket would need a freaking mass ratio of 20 just to escape! It won't be able to lift much of a cargo with that ugly figure. Saturn is more reasonable, a solid core NTR scoopship can manage with a mass ratio of 4.
The tankers will probably need nuclear powered ion drive propulsion as a minimum. Why?
Exhaust velocity is delta V divided by natural log of mass ratio. Assume that the maximum economical mass ratio is 4.0 (i.e., 75% propellant). This means the tanker rocket will need a propulsion system with an exhaust velocity of at least 17,000 meters per second. Looking at the drive table, a chemical rocket is far too weak, same goes for a solid core nuclear thermal rocket. In the near term you are probably going to use a VASIMR or ion drive.
Both need electricity and plenty of it. And past the orbit of Mars, a solar cell array is not practical. Sunlight at Jupiter is about 0.04 as strong as it is at Terra. And at Neptune it drops to 0.001. You are going to need nuclear energy or better for your ion drive.
Of course if you have 3He fusion power light enough to use on a spacecraft, you will be all set. Just tap a bit of your cargo.
Hydrogen propellant is no problem. The harvesting operation is scooping hundreds of thousands of tons of the stuff and throwing it away while sifting out the precious atoms of 3He. Or if that is too expensive to lug up the gravity well, the gas giants all have plenty of moons or rings just chock full of frozen water ice.
Now, if you are going to be shipping 500 metric tons of 3He to Terra per year, you probably are talking about several hundred flights. Which is a lot.
Most Traveller fans are familiar with the concept of harvesting gas giants because it is enshrined in the game under the name "wilderness refueling." This is a starship obtaining hydrogen fuel by scooping it from the atmosphere of a convenient gas giant. Starships usually obtain fuel by purchasing it from a starport. Wilderness refueling makes sense if the starport fuel is too expensive, or if you are indeed in an uninhabited wilderness solar system and there are no starports.
How did the wilderness refueling concept get into the Traveller game? Because the creators of Traveller liked the classic Niven & Pournelle novel The Mote In God's Eye, and Niven & Pournelle liked a plastic model called the Explorer Ship Leif Ericson:
In Traveller, all ships use hydrogen for fuel. Starships include a faster-than-light drive, which is increases both the mass and the price tag of the ship. System defense boats (SDB) are military ships that have no FTL drive, which makes them lower mass and cheaper than a comparable starship.
In military operations logistics is always a problem. When invading an enemy solar system lugging along fuel in the supply train is a logistical nightmare. So invading starship fleets are fond of refueling at gas giants located in the target system.
Which is why it is standard operating procedure for defending fleets to station system defense boats lurking in the gas giant atmospheres. This allows the system defense boats to ambush the invaders.
The other think to remember is that kilogram for kilogram a system defense boat is more heaviliy armed. Given a starship and a system defense boat of the same mass, the SDB has no FTL drive or fuel devoted to the FTL drive. So the mass a starship allocates to the FTL stuff is mass that the SDB can allocate to more weapons and defenses. Alternatively you can have a SDB with armament equal to a given class of starship, such a SDB will be much cheaper than the equivalent starship so you can afford more of them.
Of course SDB can never leave the solar system they reside at (unless transported by a huge carrier starship), but generally this is not a problem for a defensive military ship. The major exception is if the solar system has to be abandoned, then the SDB will have to be abandoned as well (and probably scuttled).
Predictably, when you look more closely at gas giant fuel scooping, the concept has problems. The old Daedalus aerostats made more sense, but you really could not use them for wilderness refueling. Not unless you were prepared to wait for a few years.
Most of the technical reports seem to assume that the scooping will be done at an altitude where the pressure is about one bar, or about the same as atmospheric pressure at Terra sea level.
Poul Anderson had a merry set of science fiction stories featuring harvesting Jupiter's atmosphere, collected in Tales of the Flying Mountains. Unfortunately they used scoop ships equipped with handwaving antigravity drives, and they harvested complex chemicals (handwavingly as yet undiscovered by science) that for some handwaving reason could not be synthesized. The mothership had a titanic inflatable external tank which the flock of scoop ships would gradually fill.
If you are thinking about a long term civilization on a planet or asteroid, an important chemical is phosphorus. Isaac Asimov called it "life's bottleneck."
Asimov noted that some chemical elements are more common in the bodies of Terran living creatures than in the rocks and dirt composing Terra. Compared to the rocks, those elements are concentrated in living things. The higher the concentration factor, the more vital that element is to organisms and the more rare the element is in rocks. By far the element with the highest concentration factor is phosphorus.
What this boils down to is that a planet's supply of living things (the total biomass) is limited to its supply of phosphorus. It is the first thing that will run out. If there is not enough native phosphorus it will have to be imported. True there are other vital elements, but the phosphorus limit is the one you will hit first.
This is a critical factor in the growth of extraterrestrial colonies, whether planetary or space habitats. It is also a factor in spacecraft closed ecological life support systems.
Please understand the implications for extraterrestrial colonies. If there is no importation of phosphorus, no baby can be born until somebody dies. The population size of the colony cannot grow without an influx of phosphorus. Even with zero population growth, they might need draconian measures, such as euthanasia for citizens reaching a certain age. Not to mention the Baby Police always on the lookout for illegal births.
Another implication is that upon a person's death, the phosphorus and nitrogen in their body cannot be wasted. There will probably be mandatory cremation, with the valuable phosphorus and nitrogen carefully extracted from the ashes. Or the bodies must be composted. Or if the dear departed's next of kin have a farm, the cremated ashes are allowed to be sprinkled over the family crops. One way or another the phosphorus and nitrogen must be recycled.
This is reminiscent of that quote from Frank Herbert's Dune: "A man's flesh is his own; the water belongs to the tribe." On the arid desert planet Arrakis, the bodies of the dear departed have all the water extracted before burial.
If things got really tight, I suppose that phosphorus could be synthesized by nuclear transmutation, but that would be insanely expensive.
Nitrogen for fertilizer is another critical element with no rich off-Terra source.
There is a bit of phosphorus in C-type asteroids. Nitrogen is in ammonia, which can be found in the atmosphere of gas giant planets (which are quite a long ways away) and as free nitrogen in the atmosphere of Titan.
A gentleman who goes by the handle Coffeecat suggested that nitrogen might become the basis of the solar system economy. Actually his exact words were "Ohmygod, we'll be on the feces standard."
The element bottleneck could be a large club that the government of Terra waves at the extraterrestrial colonies, if they start making noises about rebelling from Terra's oppressive control. If the Martian colonials start complaining about "no taxation without representation", Terra will respond with "You are receiving a nice steady supply of phosphorus. It would be a shame if anything happened to it." Naturally the Martian Revolutionary War might be kicked off by the unexpected discovery of of a large non-Terran source of phosphorus.
Naturally Mars Colony would be covertly trying to mine C-type asteroids in an effort to find an alternate source of phosphorus. Which a panicky Terran government would be doing everything in their power to suppress. Things get quite dramatic and explosive when you realize that the Martian moon Deimos is probably a large C-type asteroid.
The phosphorus situation is not very rosy on Terra either. It was noted in 2011 that the world-wide demand for phosphorus (mostly for agriculture) was rising about twice as fast as the growth of the human population. Some researchers say that Terra will reach Peak Phosphorus around 2030, and global reserves may be depleted in 50 to 100 years (starting from 2009). The main ways that phosphorus become uneconomic to recycle is by agricultural runoff and from manure (human and animal) flushed into the ocean. Subsistence agricultural practices would carefully conserve phosphorus by collecting manure and spreading it on the crops. But this is not a profitable option for factory farming so they just flush away the manure.
In the future there might be mandatory agricultural practices to minimize runoff, and sewage treatment plants designed to harvest phosphorus.